Research Papers

We examined the inertia in taxpayers’ adjustments to income tax prepayments following changes in tax liability, analyzing how taxpayers’ prepayments change over time.

We aimed to investigate why many US taxpayers receive income tax refunds and to explore the role of inertia in their tax prepayment behavior, beyond the previously suggested precautionary and forced savings motives.

Our findings indicate that default withholding rules significantly impact consumption smoothing, especially for low-income taxpayers, suggesting that policies around withholding can have broader economic implications than previously understood.

We investigated the observational implications of taste-based discrimination in racial profiling, considering how biases in law enforcement decisions may manifest in observed data.

We aimed to provide insights into the challenges of identifying and addressing taste-based discrimination in racial profiling through statistical and econometric analysis.

We contribute to the understanding of the complexities involved in studying and combating racial profiling, emphasizing the importance of careful empirical analysis.

We investigated the effects of long-term exposure to disadvantaged neighborhoods on high school graduation by following 4,154 children in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, measuring neighborhood context annually from age 1 to 17.

We aimed to address the gap in previous research that typically measures neighborhood context only once, failing to account for the duration of residence and understating the detrimental effects of long-term neighborhood disadvantage.

Our findings reveal that sustained exposure to disadvantaged neighborhoods significantly reduces the probability of high school graduation, with impacts larger than previously reported. For black children, graduation rates drop from 96% to 76%, and for nonblack children, from 95% to 87%. These results highlight the importance of addressing long-term neighborhood disadvantage to improve educational outcomes.

We explored the relationship between imprisonment and crime rates, considering the possibility of reducing both imprisonment rates and crime.

We wanted to challenge the prevailing notion that increasing imprisonment rates are the only effective strategy for reducing crime, suggesting alternative approaches.

We contribute to the debate on criminal justice policies, advocating for a balanced approach that considers both crime prevention and the social costs of imprisonment.

We reexamined the relationship between religion and economic growth, considering the impact of specific religious beliefs and practices on growth rates.

We aimed to provide a nuanced analysis of the role of religion in economic growth by investigating the detailed aspects of religious beliefs and practices, which previous research may have overlooked.

We contribute to a deeper understanding of the complex relationship between religion and economic growth, emphasizing the importance of considering specific aspects of religious influence for more accurate policy implications.

This paper provides a general description of the relationship between individual decision problems and aggregate crime regressions to elucidate the behavioral and statistical assumptions that are implicit in the use of aggregate crime regressions.

We wish to understand how aggregate crime regressions may be appropriately used to inform positive and normative questions. We hope our discussion will prove useful in highlighting some of the limitations of the use of these regressions and, in particular, indicate how empirical findings may be overinterpreted when careful attention is not given to the link between the aggregate data and individual behavior.

Despite recent efforts to employ microeconomic data and natural experiments, aggregate crime regressions continue to play a significant role in criminological analyses.

We reviewed linear and nonlinear models and their applications, including results regarding partial identification. We also examined conceptual and methodological links with spatial econometrics and the social networks literature. We considered empirical applications in the context of the methodological overview.

We wanted to provide a template for understanding the broad social interactions literature by outlining a theoretical framework for social interactions and describing the econometric implementation of social interaction ideas.

The study of social interactions enriches the domain of inquiry of economists and the way economists conceptualize individual decision-making.

We critically reviewed the identification strategies of the social determinants of individual behaviors and interactions.

While a rich literature on the identification strategies for uncovering empirical evidence of social interactions exists, a more mature system of identification strategies is needed to identify the conditions under which social interactions occur.

This overview of the existing identification strategies of social interactions clarifies the directions for future research that improves the empirical modeling of social interactions.

We examined the deterrent effect of imprisonment on criminal behavior, considering the impact of incarceration as a crime prevention strategy.

We aimed to provide empirical evidence on the effectiveness of imprisonment as a deterrent, contributing to the ongoing policy debate on crime control strategies.

Our findings can inform the discussion on the role of imprisonment in controlling crime, offering insights that can guide policymakers in developing evidence-based criminal justice policies.

We conducted a field experiment to reduce information, administrative, stigma, and procrastination costs associated with the Advance EITC, and simultaneously encouraged 401(k) savings to observe their effects on participation rates.

We aimed to understand the low participation rates in the Advance EITC and to explore whether encouraging 401(k) savings would influence the decision to participate in the Advance EITC, shedding light on the motives behind these financial choices.

Our findings suggest that EITC recipients actively choose to forgo the Advance, and the lack of increased participation with 401(k) encouragement challenges the notion of long-term forced savings motives, highlighting the need for further research into the underlying preferences and behaviors.